WN 2163 · MCO → MDW

departs 11:07 AM ET · arrives 1:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2163 · MCO → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?