WN 2164 · BNA → BOS

departs 1:16 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2164 · BNA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?