Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2245
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WN 2245 · LAS → BNA
departs 6:51 AM PT · arrives 12:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 4%
Thu 10/29 6%
Fri 10/30 8%
Sat 10/31 4%
Mon 11/2 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.