WN 2309 · MCO → FLL

departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2309 · MCO → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?