WN 2338 · LAS → MDW

departs 12:04 AM PT · arrives 5:35 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8565Z (B738), coming in as WN 3118 from MSY: landed 10:43 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2338 · LAS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?