WN 233 · ATL → LAS

departs 7:08 AM ET · arrives 8:23 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 233 · ATL → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?