WN 2513 · MCO → MEM

left the gate 9:14 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 9:11 AM ET → 10:15 AM CT)

Your aircraft is N8795L (B38M), coming in as WN 3424 from PHX: landed 5:30 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2513 · MCO → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?