WN 2596 · MCO → SRQ

departs 10:42 AM ET · arrives 11:39 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ SRQ is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2596 · MCO → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?