WN 2662 · MCO → SDF

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 5:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±7 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

SDF (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2662 · MCO → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?