WN 267 · BNA → SAT

departs 8:14 AM CT · arrives 10:36 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 267 · BNA → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?