WN 2750 · ROC → BWI

departs 4:29 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from ROC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROC

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2750 · ROC → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?