WN 3365 · SLC → PHX

departs 7:09 PM MT · arrives 7:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 40 kt forecast at SLC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts40 kt Ceiling9,857 ft Visibility8.28571 mi Precip0.01 in

PHX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3365 · SLC → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?