WN 344 · AUS → LAS

departs 6:08 AM CT · arrives 6:52 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8727M (B38M), coming in as WN 2695 from DEN: landed 11:57 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 344 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?