WN 3506 · FLL → MDW

departs 6:49 AM ET · arrives 9:06 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8801Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2281 from DEN: landed 10:56 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3506 · FLL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?