WN 3546 · SJU → FLL

departs 8:16 AM AT · arrives 11:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

FLL (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3546 · SJU → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?