WN 359 · PHX → MDW

departs 12:05 PM MT · arrives 5:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 359 · PHX → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?