WN 3759 · SEA → MDW

took off 12:55 AM PT · expected to land 6:28 AM CT (scheduled 12:11 AM PT → 6:21 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ 12am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3759 · SEA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?