WN 4252 · DEN → MSY

departs 10:40 AM MT · arrives 2:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4252 · DEN → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?