WN 428 · BWI → BHM

departs 9:54 AM ET · arrives 10:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 428 · BWI → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?