WN 4295 · AUS → SLC

departs 1:01 PM CT · arrives 2:47 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts40 kt Ceiling9,857 ft Visibility8.28571 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4295 · AUS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?