WN 4362 · HOU → BWI

departs 5:49 AM CT · arrives 9:49 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8814K (B38M), coming in as WN 1144 from CMH: landed 11:15 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4362 · HOU → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?