Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4506 LANDED 1:53 AM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

WN 4506 · MDW → MEM

took off 12:42 AM CT · landed 1:53 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MEM is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4506 · MDW → MEM

Odds over time