WN 486 · BNA → BOS

departs 5:59 AM CT · arrives 9:35 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8670A (B738), coming in as WN 3626 from SAN: in the air, landing about 4:18 AM CT, 95 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from BNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 486 · BNA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?