Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5035 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

WN 5035 · BUF → BWI

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 5035 · BUF → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?