WN 8511 · GSO → BWI

took off 1:50 AM ET · landed 2:30 AM ET (scheduled 12:35 AM ET → 1:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8511 · GSO → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?