WN 960 · BWI → BNA

departs 6:02 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 960 · BWI → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?