WN 986 · MCO → DAL

departs 9:37 AM ET · arrives 11:18 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8632A (B738), coming in as WN 4622 from STL: landed 8:18 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 986 · MCO → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?