WS 1057 · LAS → YVR

departs 1:11 PM PT · arrives 4:12 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at YVR that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1057 · LAS → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?