WS 1087 · LAS → YYC

departs 12:59 PM PT · arrives 4:51 PM MDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at YYC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1087 · LAS → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?