WS 1167 · PHX → YYC

departs 6:03 PM MT · arrives 10:13 PM MDT

Your aircraft is CGIIZ (B38M), coming in as WS 1164 from YYC: landed 5:01 PM MT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1167 · PHX → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?