WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

took off 7:54 PM PT · expected to land 11:36 PM MDT (scheduled 8:05 PM PT → 12:17 AM MDT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YEG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YEG

↑ 8pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YEG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?