Y4 1761 · DEN → GDL

took off 1:13 PM MT · landed 4:10 PM CST (scheduled 12:58 PM MT → 4:46 PM CST)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at GDL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GDL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

GDL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 1761 · DEN → GDL

Odds over time

How late did it get to GDL?