Y4 7842 · AGU → MDW

took off · landed 3:52 PM CT (scheduled 11:40 AM CST → 4:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AGU

Weather at each end

AGU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7842 · AGU → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?