YV 6208 · IAH → RIC

took off 6:45 PM CT · landed 10:06 PM ET (scheduled 6:17 PM CT → 10:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

RIC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,414 ft Visibility8.71429 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6208 · IAH → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?