Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 6286SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
YV 6286 · IAH → ORF
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 10:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.