YX 3301 · IAD → CMH

departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:36 PM ET

Your aircraft is N746YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3493 from CVG: landed 11:21 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,314 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3301 · IAD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?