Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3666
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
YX 3666 · IND → EWR
departs 10:49 AM ET · arrives 1:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 6%
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
EWR is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.