YX 4625 · CMH → LGA

took off 6:42 AM ET · landed 7:56 AM ET (scheduled 6:30 AM ET → 8:30 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4625 · CMH → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?