tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4705 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

YX 4705 · ORD → YQB

took off 10:15 AM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 9:58 AM CT → 1:32 PM EDT)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at YQB more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YQB?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.