Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4807 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 12:24 PM ET (20 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4807 · LGA → MEM

departs 11:56 AM ET · arrives 1:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEM?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.