Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ZIPAIR · FLIGHT ZG 24 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

ZG 24 · NRT → LAX

departs 11:24 PM JST · arrives 4:09 PM PT

Your aircraft is JA826J (B788).

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

NRT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ZG 24 · NRT → LAX

Odds over time