Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 217 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

9K 217 · BOS → ISP

departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 7:37 PM ET

Your aircraft is N890CA (C402), coming in as 9K 214 from ISP: still at ISP, due off about 12:40 PM ET, 278 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ISP (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 217 · BOS → ISP

Odds over time