Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 7241 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

9K 7241 · SBH → STT

departs 9:40 AM AST · arrives 10:47 AM AST

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at STT

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SBH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBH

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SBH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 7241 · SBH → STT

Odds over time