Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 860 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

9K 860 · BOS → BHB

departs 12:09 PM ET · arrives 1:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BHB more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHB (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 860 · BOS → BHB

Odds over time