Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 125
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
9X 125 · IAD → DUJ
departs 8:16 AM ET · arrives 9:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 12%
Mon 11/2 10%
Tue 11/3 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DUJ more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at DUJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DUJ?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at IAD that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAD is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into DUJ at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
DUJ (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.