Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 548
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 548 · HNL → MKK
departs 4:25 PM HT · arrives 5:18 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MKK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MKK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.0 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MKK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.18 in
MKK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.