Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 552
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 552 · HNL → LNY
departs 11:14 AM HT · arrives 12:06 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 18%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±9 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LNY?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.18 in
LNY (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.