Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 6013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 6013 · HNM → JHM
departs 8:51 AM HT · arrives 9:44 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JHM more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave HNM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at JHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to JHM?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at JHM that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNM that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into JHM at that hour are usually not late
↓
JHM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNM (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.06 in
JHM (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 2.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.