Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 6014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 6014 · MUE → HNM
departs 4:01 PM HT · arrives 4:56 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HNM more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MUE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HNM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to HNM?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNM that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MUE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Arrivals into HNM at that hour are usually not late
↓
HNM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MUE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
HNM (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.