Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 611
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 611 · OGG → MKK
departs 1:16 PM HT · arrives 2:16 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 17%
Sat 10/31 11%
Mon 11/2 11%
Tue 11/3 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±9 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MKK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MKK?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.0 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
MKK usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into MKK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
MKK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.